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2024-12-13 04:33:26

Societe Generale: The S&P 500 index is expected to fluctuate between 6,500 and 7,500 points next year. Strategists at Societe Generale said that the re-inflation policy proposed by President-elect Trump when he takes office next year may push the S&P 500 index to 6,500 points in April and 7,500 points in 2025, and bond yields are expected to fluctuate greatly.The phenomenal world tour of "Mould Mould" ended, earning over 2 billion dollars in two years. After nearly two years and about 150 performances, the phenomenal world tour of American singer "Mould Mould" Taylor Swift finally ended on December 8. According to the Associated Press reported on the 9th, Swift's world tour concert started in Glendale, Arizona, USA on March 17th, 2023, and lasted for more than 20 months, and it went through 53 cities around the world, with a total of 149 performances and 10.1 million fans ... The last performance ended in Vancouver, Canada on December 8th. This grand tour extended from the United States to South America, Asia and Europe, and became a global phenomenal event, which was a great commercial success: by the end of 2023, the Swift-era concert tour had become the first tour in the world with a total income of more than 1 billion US dollars. According to the statistics of Pollstar, the industry publication of the concert, the total tour revenue will exceed $2 billion after the series of tours are completed on December 8. (Global Times)Economists and market institutions believe that the economic growth target will remain at around 5.0% next year, and the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee will hold a meeting on December 9th. At the meeting, the deployment arrangements for economic work in 2025 have attracted much attention from the market. In particular, the meeting has many new expressions that positively set the tone for next year's macro policies, which has stimulated the market's expectation for the introduction of more relaxed incremental policies and stronger support for economic development next year. "Implementing a moderately loose monetary policy" is the first time in 14 years. It is expected that the central bank will take greater efforts to cut interest rates and lower the RRR next year; "Implementing a more active fiscal policy" is positive and proactive, and the direction of fiscal overweight is beyond traditional investment and people's livelihood, and it will further increase consumption and real estate. Looking forward to 2025, economists and market institutions believe that the economic growth target will remain at around 5.0% next year. Li Chao, deputy director and spokesperson of the Policy Research Office of the National Development and Reform Commission, said earlier that more than 300 major reform measures are being accelerated, the innovation-driven development strategy is being implemented in depth, and the real economy and the digital economy, advanced manufacturing and modern service industries are integrating and developing. (Securities Times)


On December 9, the top 20 US stock turnover: Apple hit a record high, with a market value exceeding 3.7 trillion US dollars. On Monday, Apple, the fifth US stock turnover, closed up 1.61%, and its share price reached a record high, with a turnover of 10.425 billion US dollars and a market value of about 3.73 trillion US dollars. It is reported that by 2025, a quarter of Apple's iPhone will be produced outside China, and India will become the most likely production base. As a fast-growing market, India has hundreds of millions of potential customers, and Samsung and China brands have launched fierce competition here. According to market research firm IDC, the average price of smartphones in India has risen from $192 in the third quarter of 2020 to $293 in the same period of 2024. Apple's market share increased by nearly 60% from the third quarter of 2023 to 2024, which was partly due to its launch of the old iPhone which was more close to the people. (Global Market Broadcast)MSTR, a micro-strategy of "big bitcoin positions", closed down 7.51% at $365.34, while US stocks temporarily rose 1.52% after hours. The company bought an additional $2.1 billion worth of bitcoin, which is the fifth consecutive Monday that the company announced its increase in bitcoin.XAI, owned by Musk, is updating the function of the Grok chat robot through a new autoregressive image generation model code-named Aurora, which has been launched on the X platform.


 Reminder: Please pay attention to it during the day (the following are all Beijing time). ① It is possible to release the total amount of M2 money supply, new RMB loans and financing in China in November; ② The time to be determined is China's import and export and trade account in November; ③ At 11: 30, the Reserve Bank of Australia announced the interest rate resolution; ④ At 12: 30, Reserve Bank of Australia Chairman Brock held a press conference on monetary policy; ⑤ 15:00 Germany's November CPI final value; ⑥ At 01:00 the next day, us energy information administration (EIA) released the monthly short-term energy outlook report (STEO); ⑦ At 05:30 the next day, american petroleum institute (API) released the weekly crude oil inventory report.The increase of $3,500 per car cost of Detroit car companies is affected by Trump's tariff policy. Bloomberg industry research analysis shows that if US President-elect Trump imposes proposed tariffs on imported goods from Canada and Mexico, the labor cost per car of American car companies may increase by more than $3,500, and if the production of auto parts returns to the United States, this figure may be higher. Considering the production scale of Ford Motor Company, General Motors Company and Stellantis Company in Mexico, they are likely to suffer the most, while Tesla and Gentex are likely to suffer the least.

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